Six of the 10 Republicans have served in or run for Congress in another state. The seat is open because Rep. Byron Donalds is running for governor; Trump carried the district by 30 points in 2024, putting the GOP nominee in an overwhelming position for November.
Two markets, one question
FL-19 Republican primary
Aug 18, 7:15 AM CT
one venue only
one venue only
- Polymarket, solid
FL-19 Republican primary. Catalina Lauf (R): Polymarket 89%; Jim Schwartzel (R): Polymarket 11%. Full history is in the table below.
7 days ago
| Day | Catalina Lauf · Polymarket | Jim Schwartzel · Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| 7 days ago | 47% | 41% |
| 6 days ago | 80% | 40% |
| 5 days ago | 82% | 17% |
| 4 days ago | 82% | 11% |
| 3 days ago | 83% | 14% |
| 2 days ago | 90% | 15% |
| yesterday | 89% | 10% |
| today | 89% | 11% |
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.