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PBS NEWSHOURInflation and the Fed

U.S. employers added 162,000 jobs in August, about triple the 53,000-56,000 forecast, and unemployment held at 4.1%

Political Guyentist · September 5, 20262 min read

PBS NEWSHOUR

The Labor Department also revised June and July up by a combined 55,000, flipping July from a reported loss of 23,000 jobs to a gain of 21,000.

The August employment report, released Friday, Sept. 4, showed employers adding 162,000 jobs — about triple the 53,000 to 56,000 economists had forecast. The unemployment rate came in at 4.1%, the same as July. Restaurants and bars accounted for 59,000 of the gain; local government education added 42,000; construction added 22,000 and manufacturing 16,000. Average hourly wages rose 3.1% from a year earlier, the weakest annual pace since May 2021. ([TS]CPI in July was 3.4% year over year per BLS) The report lands 11 days before the Federal Reserve's Sept. 15-16 meeting, where the central bank sets its benchmark interest rate. On CME's FedWatch tool, which converts futures market prices into odds on that decision, the chance of a quarter-point rate hike rose to about 60% Friday morning, up from a roughly even split Thursday afternoon. Stocks fell. Trump posted on Truth Social that the Fed board "must get smart — BE PATRIOTS for a change," and separately: "LOWER THE RATE OR I'LL STOP TRADING WITH COUNTRIES WITH WHICH WE HAVE A DEFICIT."

Who got the 162,000 jobs, and what the revisions changedEconomist Mike Konczal counted 158,000 of the 162,000 August jobs going to women — 98% of the gain.3 details
  • Economist Mike Konczal counted 158,000 of the 162,000 August jobs going to women — 98% of the gain. Platypus Economics puts the share at 93% since January 2025.
  • Since January 2025, men have netted roughly 60,000 jobs against about 747,000 for women. Women's August unemployment rate was 3.9%; men's was 4.4%.
  • The revisions lift average monthly job growth over the past three months to 71,000, up from 20,000 before the Labor Department reworked the June and July figures.
Currently showing Monthly change in U.S. nonfarm payrolls, Jan 2025 - Aug 2026
Monthly change in U.S. nonfarm payrolls, Jan 2025 - Aug 2026
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Monthly change in U.S. nonfarm payrolls, Jan 2025 - Aug 2026 Signed bars above and below a zero line. Four of the last twelve months were job losses… Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics -200 0 200 400 -48 162 Jan 2025 May 2025 Sep 2025 Dec 2025 Apr 2026 Aug 2026

What we’re less sure of4 of 8 claims