The FEC filing covers digital and TV ads for Paxton against Democratic state Rep. James Talarico (St Rep-D Texas), and follows Trump's endorsement helping Paxton beat incumbent Sen. John Cornyn (Sen-R Texas) in the May primary runoff.
What we’re less sure of1 of 5 claims
Low
Trump's endorsement helped Paxton beat Cornyn in the runoff
Causal attribution of the runoff result to the endorsement is the desk's own inference; no pollster, strategist or outlet is credited for the judgment in the story text.