← 2026-09-2715brief

Cook Political Report now projects Republicans will lose the House, five weeks before Election Day

Democrats are now favored to win a slim House majority, and their path to a Senate majority is no longer a long shot.

Cook, a nonpartisan forecaster, now makes this call, and forecasters say they see no sign that Democrats' gains are a polling 'sugar high,' because several separate measures point the same way.

The Senate map:

  • Democrats need to hold all their own Senate seats and flip 4 Republican seats; the Washington Post now calls that path feasible.
  • CNN reports Republicans fear 2 key Senate races are slipping away, in North Carolina and Georgia.