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Byron Donalds will face David Jolly to replace Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis

Political Guyentist · August 19, 20262 min read

THE HILL

Markets, not polling
Byron Donalds 80.5%20.0%Jolly
Donalds (Rep-R Florida) is Trump's pick. Jolly (D-FL) is a Republican who switched parties. They won the Aug. 18 primaries; the vote is Nov. 3.

Byron Donalds (Rep-R Florida) and David Jolly (D-FL) won their parties' nominations on Tuesday, Aug. 18, and are projected to meet in the fall election, according to Decision Desk HQ. Donalds, a third-term House member endorsed by Trump, defeated a crowded Republican field. Jolly, a former Republican House member who now runs as a Democrat, also topped a crowded field. The winner will replace term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, who leaves office in January.

BackgroundWhat Trump's endorsement did to the Republican field3 facts
  • Trump backed Donalds in February 2025 — 18 months before the vote, and before DeSantis had a candidate of his own.
  • DeSantis withheld an endorsement of Donalds for months, an open split with the president whose 2018 endorsement made DeSantis governor in the first place.
  • Donalds has held the Naples-area 19th District since 2021 and had never appeared on a statewide ballot before Tuesday, Aug. 18.

What we’re less sure of2 of 8 claims

Schwartzel, a broadcasting executive, beat Catalina Lauf in the Naples-area 19th District. Trump endorsed Lauf five days before the vote.

Read more about: Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz wins her Democratic primary in a redrawn Florida district

Another result from the same Aug. 18 ballot: her 20th District seat was reshaped by Florida's new map.