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U.S.-led venture gets 25-year rights to 17 Venezuelan oil fields and access to 65 billion barrels

Political Guyentist · August 31, 20263 min read

TIME

The project targets more than 1.5 million barrels a day and more than $100 billion in investment, with no start date or production schedule made public.

A new company, majority-owned by the U.S. government, has won 25-year rights to develop 17 oil fields in Venezuela. The fields hold 65 billion barrels of proven crude — about 21% of the roughly 303 billion barrels Venezuela held as of 2023, the largest proven reserve base of any country. The oil may eventually supply Gulf Coast refineries, though Venezuela's degraded oil infrastructure makes near-term relief at the pump uncertain. Ted Cruz (Sen-R Texas) said on Sunday, Aug. 30 that the deal could benefit jobs and gasoline prices "over the long term," while arguing that Venezuela should hold free and fair elections no later than the middle of 2027.

What this deal covers, and what it leaves outCaracas projects $209.3 billion in royalties and taxes over the life of the deal, using a $65-per-barrel reference price.5 details
  • Caracas projects $209.3 billion in royalties and taxes over the life of the deal, using a $65-per-barrel reference price.
  • That works out to roughly $19 of every barrel for the Venezuelan state, or about 29% of that $65 price. It is the government's cut of the money coming in, not a share of the profits, and no profit split has been disclosed.
  • The remaining $46 has to cover drilling, operating costs and the venture's return; how that divides between Washington and the private operator has not been published.
  • The U.S. government is the majority owner of the new company, and that company, not the state oil firm PDVSA, holds the rights to develop the fields. Venezuela keeps ownership of the oil underground.
  • No company has publicly committed to the advertised private investment, and neither government has named the investors.
Currently showing U.S. national defense expenditures
U.S. national defense expenditures
Trump first term Biden U.S. national defense expenditures Real (inflation-adjusted) 2024 dollars; nominal values converted with CPI Story: 65 billion nominal = $62B real $750B $800B $850B $900B $773B $874B 2015 2020 2025 Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis via FRED (A997RC1A027NBEA), inflation-adjusted with CPIAUCNS to 202

What we’re less sure of4 of 8 claims

Red take

Gulf Coast refineries need heavy crude and currently buy it from suppliers Washington would rather not enrich; 25-year rights to 17 fields and access to 65 billion barrels put that supply under contract instead. The honest cost is time — Venezuela's degraded infrastructure makes near-term relief at the pump uncertain, and the 1.5 million barrel target may never arrive. What it buys is leverage priced in decades: Caracas gets paid only while it keeps producing, which is what gives Cruz's demand for elections by mid-2027 any force.

Blue take

Caracas discloses its side — about $19 of every barrel, 29% of a $65 reference price — while Washington has not published how the other $46 splits between the government and a private operator no company has yet agreed to be. That asymmetry matters because the target of more than 1.5 million barrels a day exceeds what all of Venezuela pumped in July, so the risk of the shortfall lands on public books before any pump-price relief lands on households.