Obama will campaign in Detroit on Oct. 24 for Michigan Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed (D-MI)

Political Guyentist · October 6, 20261 min read

Markets, not polling

Abdul El-Sayed 73.5%▲1.6Mike Rogers 26.5%

Gubernatorial nominee Jocelyn Benson (D-MI) joins the rally for El-Sayed, a progressive who narrowly beat Haley Stevens (Rep-D Michigan) in the August primary.

Behind the rallyStevens won Wayne County, which includes Detroit, with about 51% to El-Sayed's roughly 45%.3 details

Stevens won Wayne County, which includes Detroit, with about 51% to El-Sayed's roughly 45%.
AIPAC and allied groups spent $30 million against El-Sayed in the primary, per The Guardian.
Obama taped two dozen ads last week for Democratic Senate and governor candidates.

What we’re less sure of2 of 5 claims

Medium
Stevens won Wayne County, which includes Detroit, with about 51% to El-Sayed's roughly 45%.
County returns are public data, but no county-level results appear in the sources. The figures are plausible but unsourced in the story.
Medium
Obama taped two dozen ads last week for Democratic Senate and governor candidates.
This is consistent with the AP/PBS framing that the ex-president is getting more involved in the midterms. The story names no source for the 'two dozen' count or the timing.