Cook moves Kansas Senate race to toss-up and shifts North Carolina and New Hampshire toward Democrats

2026 midterms

Political Guyentist · October 7, 20261 min read

Kansas, where Roger Marshall (Sen-R Kansas) faces Adam Hamilton (D-KS), moves from Lean R to Toss Up, in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 1932.

The other shiftsNorth Carolina: Lean D → Likely D (Cook)3 details

North Carolina: Lean D → Likely D (Cook)
New Hampshire: Toss Up → Lean D (Cook)
Sabato's Crystal Ball separately moved Alaska and South Carolina toward Democrats

What we’re less sure of1 of 6 claims

Medium
Sabato's Crystal Ball separately moved Alaska and South Carolina toward Democrats.
The story attributes it to Sabato's Crystal Ball, but no Sabato page is in SOURCES. At most it rests on the Washington Examiner's report, so it is single-sourced and secondhand.