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Ongoing23 earlier updates46 days

This story has run 24 times over 46 days, starting Aug 26.

  1. CIA chief Ratcliffe makes rare Moscow visit
  2. CIA chief reportedly warned Moscow against a limited Russian attack on NATO
  3. CIA chief secretly met Russian intelligence officials in Moscow
  4. UpdateCIA chief told Moscow to end the Ukraine war before Russia’s military and economy worsen
  5. Russian drone hits ammunition depot near Kyiv, killing 38; four remain missing
  6. Russia's finance minister returned to the G20 in person for the first time since the Ukraine invasion
  7. Witkoff and Kushner meet Putin in Moscow Sept. 5, Zelensky in Kyiv Sept. 6, carrying a U.S. proposal to end the war
  8. UpdatePutin orders 72-hour halt to strikes on Kyiv while Witkoff and Kushner visit, after a three-hour Kremlin meeting
  9. UpdateWitkoff and Kushner hold first Kyiv talks of the war, agreeing on next steps but no terms; announcement promised in weeks
  10. UpdateWitkoff says Moscow-Kyiv trip produced 'substantive progress' on scheduling more talks, with no date set and no terms disclosed
  11. UpdateRussia resumed strikes on Kyiv after the truce, killing 7; Trump and Putin then talked for an hour
  12. UpdateTrump says Russia's president wants a Ukraine peace deal after their phone call
  13. House schedules vote next week on authorizing 100% tariffs on Russian oil buyers
  14. UpdateVladimir Putin warned that sending European troops into Ukraine means war with Russia.
  15. Trump announced a Russia-Ukraine energy truce Kyiv calls conditional
  16. UpdateThe House voted 214-211 to advance 100% tariffs on buyers of Russian oil
  17. UpdateCongress sends Trump a bill letting him impose 100% tariffs on countries that buy Russian oil
  18. UpdateTrump signs the bill authorizing 100% tariffs on buyers of Russian oil
  19. Trump and Zelensky agree to New York talks, expected Sept. 22
  20. UpdateZelensky asks Trump for a mutual halt on energy and port strikes
  21. Zelensky (President, Ukraine) urges countries to limit trade with Russia to cut war funding
  22. UpdatePutin added a sale of Lukoil's foreign oil assets to US-Russia Ukraine talks; the buyers include Witkoff and Kushner business partners
  23. UpdateTreasury lifts U.S. sanctions on Russian diesel until April 7, 2027, after Trump says Russia will send 4.8 million tons
  24. UpdateRussian glide bombs kill 20 in Zaporizhzhia a day after the U.S. suspended Russian diesel sanctions; Putin tells Trump talks won't resume soon — this issue
AXIOSUpdate

Russian glide bombs kill 20 in Zaporizhzhia a day after the U.S. suspended Russian diesel sanctions; Putin tells Trump talks won't resume soon

Political Guyentist · October 11, 20263 min read

AXIOS

Treasury's General License 135 lets Russian diesel be sold, including into the U.S., until April 7, 2027, with no volume cap and no ceasefire condition.

Five Russian glide bombs hit apartment blocks in Zaporizhzhia, a southeastern Ukrainian city of about 700,000, early Saturday, Oct. 10, killing 20, including three children, per Reuters; regional official Ivan Fedorov put the wounded at 32. Zelensky called it Moscow's "thanks" for the diesel deal Trump announced hours earlier. It was Russia's third mass-casualty strike in a week (Reuters).

The talks. The "no talks right away" line predates the bombing. On their Friday, Oct. 9, call, Putin told Trump talks can't resume immediately, blaming Ukraine's Sept. 20 drone attack on Moscow during Russian elections, per Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov (Al Jazeera).

The deal. Trump says Russia will ship more than 300,000 tons of diesel now, 500,000 tons in November, 1 million tons "immediately thereafter" and 3 million more "within a short period," depending on its refineries: 4.8 million tons in all (AP, BBC). General License 135, a Treasury waiver exempting traders from sanctions, covers the sale and import of Russian diesel until April 7, 2027. It sets no cap and no conditions on Russia's war; it only blocks payments from U.S. accounts of Russia's central bank, wealth fund and finance ministry. AP says it is the first such waiver since 2022 to run past 30 days.

The real number. The first tranche is about 2.25 million barrels; the U.S. burns about 3.8 million barrels of diesel a day, per an analyst quoted by the BBC. At that rate all 4.8 million tons cover under 10 days of U.S. use, and not all of it is U.S.-bound. Russia, which has barred its own diesel exports since July, says it will lift that ban early (AP).

Still open. The White House hasn't said what Russia gets in return, who pays, or whether November cargoes land before the Nov. 3 midterms (AP, BBC). TASS, citing one source, says Witkoff and Kushner may visit Moscow within two weeks.

Catch upwhat happened before · 23 earlier issues
  • Sept. 20 — Ukrainian drones hit Moscow and its oil refinery on the final day of Russia's parliamentary elections; Russia said three people died.
  • Oct. 4 — Putin added a sale of Lukoil's foreign oil assets to talks; the buyers include Witkoff and Kushner business partners.
  • Oct. 9 — Trump announced the diesel deal after a call with Putin, while envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner were meeting Ukraine's team in Miami.
22 earlier issues
Chart · pipeline render▲ label over mark

U.S. average retail diesel price

U.S. average retail diesel price Monthly last weekly observation Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EMD_EPD2D_PTE_NUS_DPG), dollars per gallon $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 $3.72 $6.20 June 2022 record $5.81 2022-06-27: June 2022 record $5.81 2021-11-29 2023-02-27 2024-05-27 2025-07-28 2026-10-05

What we’re less sure of4 of 8 claims

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