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Ongoing2 earlier updates11 days

This story has run 3 times over 11 days, starting Oct 6.

  1. Gross federal debt passes $40 trillion, above CBO's $39.4 trillion forecast for the end of fiscal 2026
  2. UpdateSocial Security raises benefits 3.6% for 2027, its largest yearly increase since 2023
  3. Treasury reports a $1.99 trillion federal deficit for fiscal 2026, the largest since fiscal 2021 — this issue
REUTERS

Treasury reports a $1.99 trillion federal deficit for fiscal 2026, the largest since fiscal 2021

Political Guyentist · October 17, 20262 min read

REUTERS

Treasury puts the gap at an estimated 6.2% of the economy, up from 5.8% in fiscal 2025.

The federal government spent $1.99 trillion more than it took in during fiscal 2026 (the budget year that ended Sept. 30), Treasury reported Friday, Oct. 16. That is $217 billion more than fiscal 2025's $1.78 trillion and, per Reuters, the biggest yearly gap since fiscal 2021's $2.77 trillion, when pandemic relief swelled spending. Higher spending drove it, per Bloomberg and Reuters.

The real number. Outlays hit a record $7.40 trillion, up $386 billion, while receipts rose $169 billion to a record $5.40 trillion, per Treasury. Measured against the economy the rise is smaller: 6.2% of GDP against 5.8%, and Treasury would not say what GDP estimate it used, Reuters reported.

Still open. Bloomberg reports the result undercuts the administration's cost-cutting claims and keeps the debt on track for a record.

Where the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) says the $386 billion in new spending went:

What we’re less sure of5 of 7 claims