← Back to issue

Trump pauses 50% Canada tariff two hours before it hits, buying three days

Political Guyentist · August 20, 20263 min read

BBC NEWS

The duty covered roughly $20.2 billion of Canadian goods, and was set to start at 12:01 a.m. Wednesday, Aug. 19; the new deadline is Saturday, Aug. 22, and no signed text exists yet.

Trump paused a planned wave of 50% tariffs on Canadian goods — double the 25% he put on most Canadian goods in February 2025 — until the weekend as U.S. and Canadian negotiators, meeting for a third consecutive day, worked toward a final agreement. Trump said Canada had agreed to eliminate tariffs affecting American farmers, but he did not say which agricultural sectors were involved. The coverage of the deal, the concessions on each side, and the disputes still unresolved were not made public. "We feel confident that we've reached an agreement that will not only continue to protect American workers, American jobs, American supply chains, but really strengthen the North American economy," a U.S. official said. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney was more guarded, describing substantial progress while saying important work remained. Canadian negotiators had said the two sides were stuck as recently as Monday, Aug. 17.

What the paused tariff would have taxed, and what it sparedHit: hockey equipment, wine, beer, milk, cheese, cement, plywood, clothing, furniture, electronics and industrial machinery —…4 details
  • Hit: hockey equipment, wine, beer, milk, cheese, cement, plywood, clothing, furniture, electronics and industrial machinery — consumer goods, not raw inputs.
  • Spared: energy, potash, fish and critical minerals, the categories U.S. refiners and farmers cannot easily replace.
  • Legal vehicle: Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, a law that sat unused for its 96 years on the books. It lets a president tax a country's goods heavily when that country is found to discriminate against U.S. commerce.
  • Unlike Trump's earlier Canada tariffs, this one would have taxed goods that the USMCA — the trade pact among the U.S Canada and Mexico — guarantees enter duty-free.

What we’re less sure of5 of 8 claims

Red take

Two days after Canadian negotiators called the talks an impasse on Aug. 17, Ottawa agreed to drop tariffs hitting American farmers — movement no ordinary channel had produced. The threat was built on an untested statute and no signed text exists yet, which is a real cost carried by importers. But it was aimed at hockey equipment and furniture while sparing energy and potash, so the pressure landed where U.S. refiners would not pay it, and three more days to Aug. 22 is cheap.

Blue take

The impasse broke in two days, and sparing energy and potash aimed the duty away from U.S. refiners — that was deliberate. But a pause two hours out on roughly $20.2 billion of goods, with no signed text and no published list of what Canada got, means the farm concession cannot be priced against what was traded for it. Importers now hedge treaty risk on wine, furniture and machinery orders, and a deadline that moves to Aug. 22 moves again.

Read more about: USMCA review opens with Canada seeking guarantees the pact still binds Washington

The three-country trade pact is up for its scheduled review this year, and Trump's use of a 1930 law to tax goods it protects is the precedent Canada and Mexico now have to negotiate against.