Democrats need 218 seats for a House majority, with the range running from 215, where Republicans hold it, to the high 230s.
What we’re less sure of2 of 4 claims
Medium
CBS model puts Democrats at 228 House seats
Model forecast explicitly attributed to CBS in story; attributed forecasts are medium
Medium
Seat projection range runs from 215 to the high 230s
Supported by single source in SOURCES list (CBS 2026 model page); story does not explicitly attribute range