2026-09-0615brief

Gallup has party ID at 49% Democratic vs 39% Republican, a reversal of the GOP's 4-point edge in late 2024

Largest Democratic advantage since 2008.

The 49% and 39% counts include independents who lean to each party, so they do not add up with the share who first call themselves independent.

  • 45% of voters now call themselves independents, up from about a third in 2002
  • Q4 2024 Gallup data gave Republicans a 4-point edge