[UPDATE] Talarico leads Paxton 51-49 among likely voters in Fox's first Texas Senate poll

Democrat James Talarico (D-TX) is narrowly ahead of Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, within the poll's margin of error.

Democrat James Talarico (D-TX) leads Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton 51-49 among likely voters, within the margin of error. Among registered voters he leads by 7 points. The registered-voter sample is 1,203, with a margin of error of ±2.5 points.

PREVIOUSLY

On Sept. 29, Talarico led Paxton 47-44 in the Texas Senate polling average.

Inside the numbers:

Paxton's favorability is 40% favorable, 58% unfavorable, underwater by 18 points.
20% of voters who backed John Cornyn (Sen-R Texas) in the primary now support Talarico.
Talarico leads Paxton 64-35 among Hispanic voters.