NYT/Siena polls: Democrats lead Senate races in Texas, Alaska and Ohio, tie in Kansas

Trump's approval in five states he won by 11 to 16 points in 2024 now averages 40%. That is down 5 points since June. Democrats need a net gain of 4 seats to take the Senate.

Race by race:

• Leads: James Talarico (D-TX) +6 over Ken Paxton (R-TX); Mary Peltola (D-AK) +7 over Dan Sullivan (Sen-R Alaska); Sherrod Brown (D-OH) +3 over Jon Husted (Sen-R Ohio).
• Kansas is tied between Roger Marshall (Sen-R Kansas) and Adam Hamilton (D-KS); outlets disagree on Iowa, with The Hill showing the Republican up 1 and the Washington Examiner showing Josh Turek (D-IA) up 1.
• Only 27% of independents across the five states approve of Trump; 71% disapprove.