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Majority Whip Tom Emmer says Republicans won't win all 13 seats they redrew mid-decade

He'd be 'surprised' by a sweep of Texas's five new seats and 'shocked' by all four in Florida.

Cook now projects that redistricting nets Republicans about four House seats, after Democratic counter-maps in California and Utah. Democrats need a net gain of three to win the House, and Tom Emmer (R-Minn.) told Axios, "We're not gonna win all 13."

  • Seats Republicans redrew in their favor: 13
  • Cook's projected net GOP gain from redistricting: about 4
  • Net seats Democrats need to flip the House: 3