Political Guyentist
← Back to issue
BoardScroll
Ongoing27 earlier updates69 days

This story has run 28 times over 69 days, starting Jul 23.

  1. Trump Threatens to Bomb Iranian Bridges and Power Plants for Every Ship Hit in Strait of Hormuz
  2. Iran fires multiple ballistic missiles at U.S. base in Jordan; all are intercepted
  3. Iran denies Trump’s claim that new U.S. talks would start Monday
  4. Cargo ship is struck in the Strait of Hormuz
  5. Vance says the Iran talks are moving, then calls the war only half over
  6. Iran won't reopen Hormuz until the US unfreezes its assets and lifts the blockade
  7. Trump threatens to bomb Oman, the U.S. ally brokering the deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz
  8. Trump declares an "economic D-Day" on Iran as Hormuz traffic runs 85% below normal
  9. UpdateU.S. goes nearly a month without large Iran strikes as Trump shifts back to sanctions; Hormuz remains closed
  10. U.S. destroys two Iranian rocket launchers loaded to mine the Strait of Hormuz; Iran fires eight missiles at bases in Jordan, all intercepted
  11. UpdateU.S. bombs two Iranian rocket sites near the Strait of Hormuz; Iran fires eight missiles at Jordan
  12. UpdateU.S. forces struck IRGC air-defense, radar, maritime and mine-laying sites on Iran's southern coast starting at noon on Sept. 1
  13. UpdateU.S. hits about 100 Iranian targets; Iran fires back at American bases in four countries, and a cruise missile kills 4 at a wedding
  14. Reuters weapons experts say a US munition made a direct hit on the Iranian wedding house that killed 5
  15. US destroys or disables 3 Iranian oil tankers after Iran fired ballistic missiles at a US carrier and destroyer
  16. UpdateIran says it hit an unmanned US vessel a day after the tanker strikes; Central Command calls the claim "a total lie"
  17. UpdateIran says it will declare a restricted zone near the Strait of Hormuz and will strike threats "even before" they are carried out
  18. Iran says it seized a US sea drone in Hormuz; CENTCOM says it malfunctioned a day earlier
  19. UpdateIran fires 20 missiles at a US base in Jordan; Jordan says it intercepted 18
  20. UpdateNavy plans to keep 2 carrier groups near Iran at least through 2026
  21. UpdateUnidentified projectile hits Iranian container ship off Hengam Island, killing 1 and wounding 4
  22. UpdateOil's chokepoint shifts to refineries and tankers as JPMorgan drops its baseline oil forecast
  23. UpdateIran offers to reopen the Strait of Hormuz if the U.S. lifts its naval blockade as traffic falls to two ships
  24. Iran proposes seven-day ceasefire plan to reopen Strait of Hormuz and revive nuclear talks
  25. UpdateTrump rejects Iran's offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days in exchange for ending the U.S. blockade
  26. Trump expects more Iran talks this week after rejecting Iran's Hormuz offer; Iran won't soften its terms
  27. UpdateIran says its UN delegation has no talks planned with the US and will fly home Tuesday, Sept. 29; mediators keep working
  28. UpdateQatari compromise to end the U.S.-Iran war stalls; Trump denies aides' account that he offered Iran sanctions relief — this issue
AXIOSUpdate

Qatari compromise to end the U.S.-Iran war stalls; Trump denies aides' account that he offered Iran sanctions relief

Iran war
Political Guyentist · September 30, 20263 min read

AXIOS

U.S. officials now say a return to major combat after the Nov. 3 midterms is possible.

The compromise. Qatari mediators carried a two-page compromise on Monday, Sept. 28, between Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in New York and Trump envoy Jared Kushner in Washington. The paper tried to trade an end to the U.S. naval blockade of Iran for Iranian nuclear steps. Neither side moved.

The offer. That morning, U.S. officials said Trump would swap sanctions relief and frozen Iranian funds for concrete nuclear progress. Hours later he posted on Truth Social: "I offered them NOTHING."

Iran's terms. Iran says it will weigh nuclear concessions only after the U.S. returns to the June memorandum (the interim deal both sides signed June 17).

“It is stuck. The Iranians are asking for things the U.S. can't accept and the U.S. thinks it is winning so there is no need for compromise.”a source on the talks, to Axios

Still open. No mediator or government has named a date for the next round of talks.

Catch upwhat happened before · 27 earlier issues
  • Sept. 8 — Iran declared a restricted zone near the Strait of Hormuz and said it would strike threats before they happen.
  • Sept. 8–10 — U.S. strikes hit five Iranian oil tankers, sinking one; Iran fired 20 missiles at a U.S. base in Jordan, 18 intercepted.
  • Sept. 11 — The Navy planned to keep two carrier groups near Iran at least through 2026.
  • Sept. 14 — An unidentified projectile hit an Iranian container ship off Hengam Island, killing one; Trump wouldn't say whether the U.S. fired it.
  • Sept. 22 — Trump said he was choosing among wiping Iran out, letting it rot economically, or a deal.
  • Sept. 23–25 — With strait traffic down to two ships, Iran offered to reopen it within seven days if the U.S. lifted the blockade.
  • Sept. 27 — Trump rejected the offer; the Wall Street Journal reported he told staff renewed bombing was probable after the elections.
  • Sept. 28 — Iran's UN delegation said it had no talks planned with the U.S. and prepared to fly home.
26 earlier issues
The uranium stockpile any nuclear steps would have to cover440.9 kg of uranium enriched to 60% as of June 13, 2025, the last count the IAEA (the UN nuclear watchdog) verified; by the IAEA's…2 details
  • 440.9 kg of uranium enriched to 60% as of June 13, 2025, the last count the IAEA (the UN nuclear watchdog) verified; by the IAEA's rule of thumb, about 42 kg of 60% material is enough for one weapon if enriched further
  • The IAEA's Sept. 1 report says it cannot state the stockpile's current size or location and has no access to Iran's four declared enrichment sites

What we’re less sure of4 of 9 claims