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Cook Political Report shifts 18 House races toward Democrats and projects a 9–19 seat Democratic gain

25 days out, Democrats would need only a fifth of the toss-ups to take the House.

The moves include seats held by Mariannette Miller-Meeks (Rep-R Iowa), Zach Nunn (Rep-R Iowa), Scott Perry (Rep-R Pennsylvania) and Brian Fitzpatrick (Rep-R Pennsylvania), and would put Democrats at 224–234 seats.

The toss-up math:

  • Toss-ups: 15 held by Republicans vs. 6 held by Democrats
  • Democrats need about 20% of toss-ups for a majority
  • 5 races moved from Toss Up to Lean Democrat