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Patrick Havas, 38, was carrying two handguns and brass knuckles — all legal to carry in Ohio — and drew none of them; he is held without bond.
The rush. An armed man pushed through a crowd toward Amy Acton (D-OH), the Democratic nominee for Ohio governor, inside the Mahoning County Democratic Party tent at the Canfield Fair on Sunday, Sept. 6, around 2:30 p.m. He knocked two attendees to the ground, including an elderly man with Parkinson's who hit his head. Acton's Ohio State Highway Patrol security detail and fair police took him down within moments, before he drew either handgun. Acton was not hurt and stayed on site to help one of the injured.
The suspect. Mahoning County Sheriff Jerry Greene identified the suspect as Patrick Havas, 38, of Canfield, who entered the tent holding up a phone as if recording. He was booked on two counts of assault and one count of disorderly conduct and is held without bond. No motive has been stated.
"He literally bull-rushed through the crowd, knocked our volunteers down… pushed and knocked the elderly gentleman over with Parkinson's, and the gentleman hit his head and fell — a gun was exposed after brass knuckles fell off his fingers."Wayne Penny Jr. (D-OH), an Ohio House candidate who was in the tent ([TS]Ohio dropped its concealed-carry permit requirement in 2022, and brass knuckles stopped being banned that same year.)
Still open. No hospital, sheriff's office or campaign has released a condition update for either injured attendee, and neither Acton's campaign nor the Highway Patrol has announced any change to her security or schedule.
Republicans who condemned the attack on the Democratic nominee
- Mike DeWine (Gov-R Ohio) called Acton personally and said afterward that she is "ok"; he called the violence unacceptable
- Vivek Ramaswamy (R-OH), her opponent, condemned the attack through his campaign; he was scheduled at the same fair that afternoon
Both pilots — the only people aboard the San Juan freight run — survived and are among the five injured; three are in critical condition.
The crash. A Boeing 767-300 freighter painted in Amazon Prime Air colors, flown by contract carrier 21 Air as Flight 7598 from San Juan, Puerto Rico, ran off a runway while landing at Miami International Airport around 2 p.m. Sunday, Sept. 6. It struck multiple vehicles beyond the runway and caught fire. Five people were killed, all of them on the ground. Five more were hurt, including the only two people aboard the plane.
The response. More than 60 Miami-Dade Fire Rescue units responded. Crews cut the two pilots out of the cockpit and used technical rescue equipment to free people trapped in the struck vehicles. Fire officials said the fire started in an engine compartment and was fought with foam. Hours in, they were still containing a fuel leak: "We do still have an active fuel leak that's occurring off of the aircraft that is being mitigated."
The airport. All four runways and every taxiway closed at 3 p.m. under a full ground stop. One runway reopened around 4:15 p.m. and a second about half an hour later, ending roughly 75 minutes of total closure. By 5:05 p.m., FlightAware counted 278 delays and 88 cancellations at the airport.
What next. The NTSB sent a Go Team and planned its first on-scene briefing for Monday, Sept. 7. Neither it nor the FAA has named a cause. ([TS]The NTSB's preliminary report typically lands about 30 days out, and it usually states facts, not cause.)
What investigators know about the aircraft so far
- Tail number N1997A: delivered new in 1994, converted from passenger jet to freighter in 2015
- Operators before 21 Air took it in January 2025: six, including Vietnam Airlines, Air Europa and Kenya Airways
- Winds at Miami at the time: 17 knots gusting to 26, with a thunderstorm over the field
Ongoing15 earlier updates46 days
This story has run 16 times over 46 days, starting Jul 23.
- Trump Threatens to Bomb Iranian Bridges and Power Plants for Every Ship Hit in Strait of Hormuz
- Iran fires multiple ballistic missiles at U.S. base in Jordan; all are intercepted
- Iran denies Trump’s claim that new U.S. talks would start Monday
- Cargo ship is struck in the Strait of Hormuz
- Vance says the Iran talks are moving, then calls the war only half over
- Iran won't reopen Hormuz until the US unfreezes its assets and lifts the blockade
- Trump threatens to bomb Oman, the U.S. ally brokering the deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz
- Trump declares an "economic D-Day" on Iran as Hormuz traffic runs 85% below normal
- UpdateU.S. goes nearly a month without large Iran strikes as Trump shifts back to sanctions; Hormuz remains closed
- U.S. destroys two Iranian rocket launchers loaded to mine the Strait of Hormuz; Iran fires eight missiles at bases in Jordan, all intercepted
- UpdateU.S. bombs two Iranian rocket sites near the Strait of Hormuz; Iran fires eight missiles at Jordan
- UpdateU.S. forces struck IRGC air-defense, radar, maritime and mine-laying sites on Iran's southern coast starting at noon on Sept. 1
- UpdateU.S. hits about 100 Iranian targets; Iran fires back at American bases in four countries, and a cruise missile kills 4 at a wedding
- Reuters weapons experts say a US munition made a direct hit on the Iranian wedding house that killed 5
- US destroys or disables 3 Iranian oil tankers after Iran fired ballistic missiles at a US carrier and destroyer
- UpdateIran says it hit an unmanned US vessel a day after the tanker strikes; Central Command calls the claim "a total lie" — this issue
Central Command named the three tankers it hit on Saturday, Sept. 5, and said no one was killed. No outside source has confirmed Iran's counter-claim.
The strikes. US forces hit three Iranian oil tankers on Saturday, Sept. 5, answering Iranian ballistic missiles fired at two US Navy warships. Central Command (the US military headquarters that runs operations in the Middle East) named the ships: the M/T Downy, hit by four missiles off Kharg Island; the M/T Stark 1, disabled near Jask; and the M/T Kylo, empty of cargo, struck in the Gulf of Oman and later sunk.
The crews. Nobody was killed. Iran's own Tasnim News Agency said crews had been evacuated first, and CNN verified audio of a US aircraft warning one ship over an emergency channel to abandon it.
Iran's claim. On Sunday, Sept. 6, Iran's Revolutionary Guard said its navy struck an unmanned American vessel trying to enter a restricted zone of the Strait of Hormuz. Treat that as a claim, not a fact: it comes from one side of the war, Central Command denies it, and no satellite imagery, ship-tracking service or third navy has backed it up or knocked it down. Iran's parliament speaker promised a "faster, more intense, and more painful response."
Where it stands. The fighting resumed last week after roughly a month of relative calm. Energy Secretary Chris Wright says the Navy will keep escorting tankers through the strait until Iran backs down.
Catch up
On Thursday, Sept. 3 US drones hit two Iranian tankers under a new "tanker for tanker" policy while the Navy escorted a convoy. On Sunday, Sept. 6 we ran the strikes themselves — three Iranian oil tankers destroyed or disabled after Iran fired ballistic missiles at a US carrier and a destroyer, with Adm. Brad Cooper saying the US would take out three Iranian ships for every two of its own fired on.
14 earlier issues
- Trump Threatens to Bomb Iranian Bridges and Power Plants for Every Ship Hit in Strait of Hormuz
- Iran fires multiple ballistic missiles at U.S. base in Jordan; all are intercepted
- Iran denies Trump’s claim that new U.S. talks would start Monday
- Cargo ship is struck in the Strait of Hormuz
- Vance says the Iran talks are moving, then calls the war only half over
- Iran won't reopen Hormuz until the US unfreezes its assets and lifts the blockade
- Trump threatens to bomb Oman, the U.S. ally brokering the deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz
- Trump declares an "economic D-Day" on Iran as Hormuz traffic runs 85% below normal
- UpdateU.S. goes nearly a month without large Iran strikes as Trump shifts back to sanctions; Hormuz remains closed
- U.S. destroys two Iranian rocket launchers loaded to mine the Strait of Hormuz; Iran fires eight missiles at bases in Jordan, all intercepted
- UpdateU.S. bombs two Iranian rocket sites near the Strait of Hormuz; Iran fires eight missiles at Jordan
- UpdateU.S. forces struck IRGC air-defense, radar, maritime and mine-laying sites on Iran's southern coast starting at noon on Sept. 1
- UpdateU.S. hits about 100 Iranian targets; Iran fires back at American bases in four countries, and a cruise missile kills 4 at a wedding
- Reuters weapons experts say a US munition made a direct hit on the Iranian wedding house that killed 5
What the US escort operation has done to strait shipping
- Commercial vessels redirected by Central Command: 92
- Vessels disabled: 3, and 2 more boarded
Central Command has not said how many ships it escorts or redirects in a normal month, so there is no baseline to measure those numbers against.
Quick bites9
Witkoff and Kushner hold first Kyiv talks of the war, agreeing on next steps but no terms; announcement promised in weeks
PBS NEWSHOURUpdateRussia-Ukraine warSteve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met President Volodymyr Zelensky in Kyiv on Sunday, Sept. 6 — their first trip to Ukraine since the war began, and the highest-level US visit of Trump's second term — a day after more than three hours with Vladimir Putin in Moscow produced no announced breakthrough. No map, no sanctions terms and no security-guarantee structure were disclosed; a White House official said substantive plans would be announced "in the coming weeks."
Catch up
- Fri., Sept. 4 — Zelensky said the pair would visit Kyiv within days.
- Sat., Sept. 5 — The envoys met Putin in Moscow carrying a US proposal to end the war.
- Sun., Sept. 6 — Putin ordered a 72-hour halt to strikes on Kyiv while the envoys visited.
6 earlier issues
- CIA chief Ratcliffe makes rare Moscow visit
- CIA chief reportedly warned Moscow against a limited Russian attack on NATO
- CIA chief secretly met Russian intelligence officials in Moscow
- UpdateCIA chief told Moscow to end the Ukraine war before Russia’s military and economy worsen
- Russia's finance minister returned to the G20 in person for the first time since the Ukraine invasion
- Witkoff and Kushner meet Putin in Moscow Sept. 5, Zelensky in Kyiv Sept. 6, carrying a U.S. proposal to end the war
Ongoing7
This story has run 8 times over 12 days, starting Aug 26.
- CIA chief Ratcliffe makes rare Moscow visit
- CIA chief reportedly warned Moscow against a limited Russian attack on NATO
- CIA chief secretly met Russian intelligence officials in Moscow
- UpdateCIA chief told Moscow to end the Ukraine war before Russia’s military and economy worsen
- Russia's finance minister returned to the G20 in person for the first time since the Ukraine invasion
- Witkoff and Kushner meet Putin in Moscow Sept. 5, Zelensky in Kyiv Sept. 6, carrying a U.S. proposal to end the war
- UpdatePutin orders 72-hour halt to strikes on Kyiv while Witkoff and Kushner visit, after a three-hour Kremlin meeting
- UpdateWitkoff and Kushner hold first Kyiv talks of the war, agreeing on next steps but no terms; announcement promised in weeks — this issue
Kennedy says the House should have passed the Russia sanctions bill the Senate cleared in August
NBC NEWSRussia-Ukraine warJohn Kennedy (Sen-R Louisiana) said the House should have taken up the Russia sanctions bill the Senate passed in August, and that the U.S. has to "choke Putin to death" to force a settlement in Ukraine.
- Kennedy on Putin: "This guy's a pirate. He's got blood under his fingernails You don't get any credit for kissing his ass."
NBC poll puts Trump approval at 36%, with the RCP average just under 40%
NBC NEWSUpdate2026 midtermsNBC News puts Trump's approval at 36%, and the RealClearPolitics average sits just under 40%. Gallup shows independents leaning Democratic 49%-39%, a four-point shift since he took office and the party's widest edge since 2008.
Sep. 6 — Gallup measured voters leaning Democratic over Republican 49% to 39%. That 10-point gap is the widest since 2008 and reverses a 4-point GOP edge in late 2024.
- NBC News poll: 36% approval
- RealClearPolitics average: slightly below 40%
- Gallup Q2: independents 49% Democratic, 39% Republican
Congress was told nothing about the Pentagon's polygraph hunt, Rep. Jason Crow says; the probe began in July
TIMEUpdateDefense Secretary Pete Hegseth and the Justice Department opened the probe in July, after leaks about low U.S. munitions stocks. Dozens more officials, some at U.S. Central Command, took polygraph tests earlier in the summer. Jason Crow (Rep-D Colorado) says Congress has been told nothing about any of it.
Elsewhere in the building
- More than 80 generals and admirals — roughly the top 10% of the chain of command — have been purged under Hegseth, per CBS News.
- Women on the military promotion list are at a 25-year low.
On Sunday, Sept. 6 we ran the polygraphs: about 50 Joint Staff officers tested in August over leaks about depleted munitions, none of whom failed, with Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine left off the testing list for reasons the Pentagon has not given.
ICE topped 50,000 arrests for a second straight month, with more people who have no criminal record
THE HILLImmigration enforcementICE made more than 50,000 arrests in each of the last two months.
- More than 50,000 ICE arrests in each of the last two months
- About 350,000 Haitians stripped of Temporary Protected Status
- A federal judge released an MS-13 member held five months without a bond hearing
Gas hit $4.13 a gallon over Labor Day weekend, topping the 2012 record of $3.82
CBS NEWSIran warDiesel set its own record at $5.89 a gallon this week, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said oil could fall to $40-50 a barrel once the Iran conflict ends.
- National average: $4.13/gallon (Washington Examiner reports $4.15)
- Prior Labor Day record: $3.82, set in 2012
- OPEC+ agreed Sunday, Sept. 6, to hold October quotas flat
Ongoing1
This story has run 2 times over 2 days, starting Sep 5.
- U.S. average diesel price hits a record $5.85 a gallon, up 58% from $3.71 a year ago
- Gas hit $4.13 a gallon over Labor Day weekend, topping the 2012 record of $3.82 — this issue
Currently showing U.S. average retail diesel priceU.S. average retail diesel priceCanada's 50% tariffs on $27.6B of U.S. goods start Tuesday, Sept. 8
APUpdateTariffs and tradeCanada's retaliatory tariffs of up to 50% on $27.6 billion of U.S. goods take effect Sept. 8. Canada's retaliatory duties of up to 50% take effect Sept. 8 on $27.6 billion of American steel, aluminum, pulp and paper, appliances and farm equipment, and Trump answered Sunday, Sept. 6, on Truth Social that Canada's "Dollar imbalance with the U.S. is unacceptable," two days after ordering Lake Ontario renamed "Lake America."
Catch up
- Aug. 19-22 — Trump paused a 50% tariff on about $20.2 billion of Canadian goods two hours before it took effect, then let the new deadline pass with no signed text.
- Aug. 25 — The 50% tariffs went on roughly $20 billion of Canadian goods, with autos and steel threatened next; Ottawa promised dollar-for-dollar retaliation on Sept. 8.
- Aug. 26 — Canada listed more than 700 U.S. products for matching duties.
- Aug. 31 — Trump described the move as rejecting all Canadian imports; the enacted tariffs cover about 5% of U.S. purchases from Canada.
- Sep. 1 — Talks collapsed, leaving 50% U.S. tariffs on $27.6 billion of Canadian goods, each side blaming the other.
- Sep. 6 — DOJ told antitrust staff to stop working with Canadian counterparts, then called it a misunderstanding.
- Rep. Haley Stevens (Rep-D Michigan) has legislation offering households up to $1,700 to offset tariff costs.
- U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods also run up to 50%, covering about 5% of what the U.S. buys from Canada.
5 earlier issues
- Trump pauses 50% Canada tariff two hours before it hits, buying three days
- Trump imposed 50% tariffs on $20 billion of Canadian goods and threatened the same rate on autos and steel
- Canada tariffs nearly $20 billion in U.S. goods to match Trump’s 50% levies
- Trump calls it a rejection of all Canadian imports; the enacted 50% tariffs cover about 5%
- Trade talks with Canada collapse, leaving 50% U.S. tariffs on $27.6 billion of Canadian goods
Ongoing6
This story has run 7 times over 18 days, starting Aug 20.
- Trump pauses 50% Canada tariff two hours before it hits, buying three days
- Trump imposed 50% tariffs on $20 billion of Canadian goods and threatened the same rate on autos and steel
- Canada tariffs nearly $20 billion in U.S. goods to match Trump’s 50% levies
- Trump calls it a rejection of all Canadian imports; the enacted 50% tariffs cover about 5%
- Trade talks with Canada collapse, leaving 50% U.S. tariffs on $27.6 billion of Canadian goods
- UpdateCanada tariffs $20B of U.S. goods Sept. 8; U.S. trade rep says no talks underway
- UpdateCanada's 50% tariffs on $27.6B of U.S. goods start Tuesday, Sept. 8 — this issue
Energy Secretary Wright says an Iran nuclear deal may wait for a 'next administration' in Tehran
ABC NEWSIran warWright said Sunday, Sept. 6, that "there may not be a nuclear agreement" and that it "may be simply destroying their capabilities." Treasury Secretary Bessent said Iran has unsold crude sitting available to Chinese buyers.
- Wright on the timeline: "It is [a] 47-year-long effort. This is not trivial, but the United States will get the job done."
- National average gas price cited alongside the standoff: $4.15 a gallon.
Ongoing4
This story has run 5 times over 13 days, starting Aug 25.
- U.S. sanctions nearly 60 Iranian targets and threatens countries that keep trading with Tehran
- China rejects Trump’s threat to sanction Iran’s trading partners
- Bessent says new Iran sanctions will land every week, with another bank next
- Sanctioned Russian finance minister attended a US-hosted G20 and met Bessent, then was left out of the group photo
- Energy Secretary Wright says an Iran nuclear deal may wait for a 'next administration' in Tehran — this issue
House GOP conference chair backs Max Miller for reelection: "I support anybody with an R by their name"
CBS NEWSLisa McClain (Rep-R Michigan) said Max Miller (Rep-R Ohio) is "our nominee right now." Miller's ex-wife, Emily Moreno, filed for a restraining order on July 30. She said he threw boiling water at her. She said he pointed a gun at her. She also said he caused a broken clavicle and a bruise on their 2-year-old daughter. Moreno is the daughter of Bernie Moreno (Sen-R Ohio).
The rest of it
- Three GOP senators — Katie Britt, Jim Banks and John Husted — have called on Miller to drop out.
- Miller denies it all: "My former wife is engaging in a pattern of reporting incredible, serious and destructive allegations with absolutely no evidence."
- McClain's full line: "Listen, divorces are ugly... I support anybody with an R by their name."
Trump administration asks the Supreme Court a third time to lift the block on its USPS mail-ballot rule
APUpdateCourts and the adminis…AP: Trump administration asks the Supreme Court a third time to lift the block on its USPS mail-ballot rule
The administration went back to the Supreme Court a third time after Judge Indira Talwani extended her injunction. Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson set a Wednesday, Sept. 9, deadline for responses. The injunction still stands. Solicitor General John Sauer told the justices that each day of delay risks "confusion and chaos" as states mail ballots. Nearly one-third of all US votes are cast by mail.
[PREVIOUSLY]
Sep. 4 — The Justice Department asked the Supreme Court to unblock the Postal Service mail-ballot restrictions, a day before ballots started going out. Jackson gave the challenging states until Tuesday, Sept. 8, to respond.
- North Carolina is already mailing ballots; Alabama starts Sept. 9 and at least five more states the week of Sept. 13.
- Talwani, an Obama appointee, extended her block ahead of the midterms.
- This is the administration's third emergency request to the Supreme Court in this case.
Ballots are already in the mail in North Carolina; Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson gave challengers until Wednesday, Sept. 9, to respond.
Elections22 races
The midterms · 57 days out · November 3, 2026
D or R take the House / Senate?
today · 7-day panel
U.S. House: chance Democrats take it, Polymarket 88%, Kalshi 85%. U.S. Senate: chance Democrats take it, Polymarket 52%, Kalshi 48%. Full day-by-day figures are in the table below.
No House district is priced by either book — the House appears here as chamber control only
How to read thisthe contract, the key, and the week panel
Each bar is one contract: will Democrats control this chamber after the 2026 midterms. The Republican share is the arithmetic complement of that price, not a separately traded market. Republicans hold the House and the Senate, so the figure printed there is the chance Democrats take them. Two venues price each contract; where they differ the lighter wedge is how far apart they are, and the panel on the right is the week.
- two venues, priced separately
- shaded = how far apart they are
- 50% — control flips here
- where it stood 7 days ago
- the last 7 days, on its own scale
- week panel: one line a party
The week panel draws one line per party, crossing where control does. Only the Democratic line is a traded price: the Republicanline is its arithmetic complement, the same mirror the bar’s other half is, and not a second market agreeing with the first. The shading around each line is how far apart the two venues are.
Market prices are not forecasts with error bars; they are the last price two sets of traders agreed on. The gap between the venues is the closest thing here to a stated uncertainty. The bar runs 0–100%; the week panel beside it is zoomed to its own data and prints its top and bottom, because a two-point move is four pixels wide on a 0–100% scale and was previously drawn there anyway.
The two chambers are not the same kind of bet. The House sits far enough from the flip line that the venues’ disagreement barely matters; the Senate sits close enough that their 3.0pp gap / 4.0pp gap is a meaningful share of the distance to 50%.
Who is defending the House and the Senate is sourced, not remembered — House, 2026-07-23 issue: the NDAA passed “216-212, with six Democrats joining a unified Republican majority.”; Senate, 2026-08-10 issue: “Republicans hold 53 of the Senate's 100 seats.”
Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
| Day | U.S. House · Polymarket | U.S. House · Kalshi | U.S. Senate · Polymarket | U.S. Senate · Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 days ago | 89% | 85% | 51% | 49% |
| 6 days ago | 89% | 85% | 52% | 48% |
| 5 days ago | 90% | 85% | 52% | 48% |
| 4 days ago | 89% | 85% | 52% | 48% |
| 3 days ago | 88% | 85% | 52% | 48% |
| 2 days ago | 88% | 85% | 52% | 47% |
| yesterday | 88% | 85% | 52% | 48% |
| today | 88% | 85% | 52% | 48% |
The 3 closest of 22 races. Open one, or all of them — every race is on the page either way.
kTexas SenateTrump's MAGA Inc puts $10M in ads behind Ken Paxton in Texas Senate race
FOX NEWS: Trump's MAGA Inc puts $10M in ads behind Ken Paxton in Texas Senate race
The FEC filing covers digital and TV ads for Paxton against Democratic state Rep. James Talarico (St Rep-D Texas), and follows Trump's endorsement helping Paxton beat incumbent Sen. John Cornyn (Sen-R Texas) in the May primary runoff.
The super PAC's first major buy of the midterms.
Two markets, one question
Texas Senate
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 2.0pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Texas Senate. Ken Paxton (R): Polymarket 50.5%, Kalshi 51.5%; James Talarico (D): Polymarket 50.5%, Kalshi 48.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 2.0pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Ken Paxton 51% · James Talarico 49%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Ken Paxton (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$561K48.5%Kalshi6.1M contracts · 51%/52%51.0%venue gap2.5pp7-day move+2.0ppJames Talarico (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$463K50.5%Kalshi4.5M contracts · 48%/49%50.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move0.0ppEvery sample behind the chart. Texas Senate, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Ken Paxton · Polymarket Ken Paxton · Kalshi James Talarico · Polymarket James Talarico · Kalshi 7 days ago 48.5% 51.0% 50.5% 50.0% 6 days ago 48.5% 51.0% 50.5% 50.0% 5 days ago 49.5% 53.0% 50.5% 48.0% 4 days ago 49.5% 52.0% 50.5% 49.0% 3 days ago 49.5% 53.0% 50.5% 49.0% 2 days ago 50.5% 51.0% 50.5% 49.0% yesterday 50.5% 51.0% 50.5% 49.0% today 50.5% 51.5% 50.5% 48.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
rOhio Senate
POLYMARKET: Ohio Senate — general election
Sherrod Brown (D) faces Jon Husted (R).
A special election, to serve out the rest of someone else's Senate term, and the Democratic side holds a clear lead that has barely moved in a week.
Two markets, one question
Ohio Senate
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 3.0pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Ohio Senate. Sherrod Brown (D): Polymarket 56.5%, Kalshi 53.5%; Jon Husted (R): Polymarket 43.5%, Kalshi 46.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 3.0pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Sherrod Brown 54% · Jon Husted 46%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Sherrod Brown (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$132K54.5%Kalshi1.1M contracts · 53%/54%55.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move+2.0ppJon Husted (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$89.0K45.5%Kalshi1.5M contracts · 46%/47%46.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move-2.0ppEvery sample behind the chart. Ohio Senate, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Sherrod Brown · Polymarket Sherrod Brown · Kalshi Jon Husted · Polymarket Jon Husted · Kalshi 7 days ago 54.5% 55.0% 45.5% 46.0% 6 days ago 54.5% 54.0% 45.5% 47.0% 5 days ago 55.5% 54.0% 44.5% 48.0% 4 days ago 55.5% 53.0% 43.5% 48.0% 3 days ago 55.5% 54.0% 43.5% 47.0% 2 days ago 55.5% 53.0% 43.5% 47.0% yesterday 56.5% 54.0% 43.5% 47.0% today 56.5% 53.5% 43.5% 46.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
tGeorgia governor
POLYMARKET: Georgia governor — general election
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) faces Rick Jackson (R).
Georgia's governor's office is open, and the Democratic side holds a clear lead.
Two markets, one question
Georgia governor
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 1.5pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Georgia governor. Keisha Lance Bottoms (D): Polymarket 57.0%, Kalshi 55.5%; Rick Jackson (R): Polymarket 43.0%, Kalshi 44.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 1.5pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Keisha Lance Bottoms 56% · Rick Jackson 44%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$34.9K60.5%Kalshi292K contracts · 55%/56%60.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move-3.5ppRick Jackson (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$39.5K38%Kalshi387K contracts · 44%/45%41%venue gap3.0pp7-day move+5.0ppEvery sample behind the chart. Georgia governor, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Keisha Lance Bottoms · Polymarket Keisha Lance Bottoms · Kalshi Rick Jackson · Polymarket Rick Jackson · Kalshi 7 days ago 60.5% 60.0% 38.0% 41.0% 6 days ago 59.0% 59.0% 40.0% 41.0% 5 days ago 58.5% 59.0% 40.5% 43.0% 4 days ago 58.5% 58.0% 40.5% 43.0% 3 days ago 58.5% 57.0% 40.5% 43.0% 2 days ago 57.5% 56.0% 42.5% 44.0% yesterday 57.0% 57.0% 43.0% 44.0% today 57.0% 55.5% 43.0% 44.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
The other 19 races
Senate8 of 10
oAlaska Senate
POLYMARKET: Alaska Senate — general election
Mary Peltola (D) faces Dan Sullivan (R).
A sitting Republican senator is defending this seat, and Peltola holds a commanding lead.
Two markets, one question
Alaska Senate
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 2.0pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Alaska Senate. Mary Peltola (D): Polymarket 63.5%, Kalshi 65.5%; Dan Sullivan (R): Polymarket 36.5%, Kalshi 35.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 2.0pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Series run 6–8 samples because the venues listed these markets on different days; a short line starts late rather than being stretched across a week it was never priced over.
Money-weighted: Mary Peltola 64% · Dan Sullivan 36%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Mary Peltola (D)7 days agoPolymarket$244K63.5%Kalshi84.7K contracts · 65%/66%65.0%venue gap1.5pp7-day move0.0ppDan Sullivan (R)7 days agoPolymarket$138K36.5%Kalshi73.7K contracts · 34%/37%—venue gap—7-day move0.0ppEvery sample behind the chart. Alaska Senate, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Mary Peltola · Polymarket Mary Peltola · Kalshi Dan Sullivan · Polymarket Dan Sullivan · Kalshi 7 days ago 63.5% 65.0% 36.5% — 6 days ago 63.5% 67.0% 36.5% — 5 days ago 63.5% 65.0% 36.5% 36.0% 4 days ago 63.5% 67.0% 36.5% 34.0% 3 days ago 63.5% 66.0% 36.5% 33.0% 2 days ago 63.5% 66.0% 36.5% 32.0% yesterday 63.5% 65.0% 36.5% 36.0% today 63.5% 65.5% 36.5% 35.5% wGeorgia Senate
POLYMARKET: Georgia Senate — general election
Jon Ossoff (D) faces Mike Collins (R).
The Democratic side holds a commanding lead that has barely moved in a week.
Two markets, one question
Georgia Senate
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 0.8pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Georgia Senate. Jon Ossoff (D): Polymarket 92.0%, Kalshi 92.8%; Mike Collins (R): Polymarket 8.05%, Kalshi 7.35%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 0.8pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Jon Ossoff 93% · Mike Collins 7.4%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Jon Ossoff (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$50.3K93.5%Kalshi356K contracts · 92%/93%93.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move-1.5ppMike Collins (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$76.2K6.4%Kalshi866K contracts · 7.0%/7.7%7.5%venue gap1.1pp7-day move+1.7ppEvery sample behind the chart. Georgia Senate, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Jon Ossoff · Polymarket Jon Ossoff · Kalshi Mike Collins · Polymarket Mike Collins · Kalshi 7 days ago 93.5% 93.0% 6.40% 7.50% 6 days ago 93.5% 93.4% 6.45% 7.40% 5 days ago 93.5% 93.6% 6.40% 7.40% 4 days ago 93.5% 93.7% 6.40% 6.80% 3 days ago 93.5% 93.4% 6.45% 7.70% 2 days ago 93.5% 93.4% 7.25% 7.80% yesterday 92.0% 92.2% 8.05% 7.90% today 92.0% 92.8% 8.05% 7.35% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
pIowa Senate
POLYMARKET: Iowa Senate — general election
Ashley Hinson (R) faces Josh Turek (D).
An open seat, with no incumbent running, and the Republican side holds a commanding lead.
Two markets, one question
Iowa Senate
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 1.5pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Iowa Senate. Ashley Hinson (R): Polymarket 65.0%, Kalshi 64.5%; Josh Turek (D): Polymarket 35.0%, Kalshi 36.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 1.5pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Ashley Hinson 65% · Josh Turek 36%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Ashley Hinson (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$123K64%Kalshi1.0M contracts · 64%/65%62%venue gap2.0pp7-day move+1.0ppJosh Turek (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$112K37%Kalshi1.1M contracts · 36%/37%39%venue gap2.0pp7-day move-2.0ppEvery sample behind the chart. Iowa Senate, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Ashley Hinson · Polymarket Ashley Hinson · Kalshi Josh Turek · Polymarket Josh Turek · Kalshi 7 days ago 64.0% 62.0% 37.0% 39.0% 6 days ago 64.0% 62.0% 37.0% 40.0% 5 days ago 64.0% 63.0% 36.5% 38.0% 4 days ago 63.5% 64.0% 36.5% 37.0% 3 days ago 64.5% 65.0% 36.5% 35.0% 2 days ago 64.5% 65.0% 35.5% 36.0% yesterday 65.0% 65.0% 35.0% 37.0% today 65.0% 64.5% 35.0% 36.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
nMaine Senate
POLYMARKET: Maine Senate — general election
Troy Jackson (D) faces Susan Collins (R).
Democrats only got a candidate here after their primary winner withdrew, and the Democratic side holds a commanding lead that has barely moved in a week.
Two markets, one question
Maine Senate
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 2.0pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Maine Senate. Troy Jackson (D): Polymarket 70.5%, Kalshi 68.5%; Susan Collins (R): Polymarket 30.0%, Kalshi 31.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 2.0pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Troy Jackson 69% · Susan Collins 31%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Troy Jackson (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$753K69.5%Kalshi2.0M contracts · 68%/69%70.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move+1.0ppSusan Collins (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$511K30.5%Kalshi2.7M contracts · 31%/32%31.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move-0.5ppEvery sample behind the chart. Maine Senate, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Troy Jackson · Polymarket Troy Jackson · Kalshi Susan Collins · Polymarket Susan Collins · Kalshi 7 days ago 69.5% 70.0% 30.5% 31.0% 6 days ago 69.5% 70.0% 30.5% 30.0% 5 days ago 69.5% 68.0% 30.5% 32.0% 4 days ago 69.5% 69.0% 30.5% 31.0% 3 days ago 69.5% 69.0% 30.5% 32.0% 2 days ago 69.5% 69.0% 30.5% 32.0% yesterday 70.5% 69.0% 30.0% 32.0% today 70.5% 68.5% 30.0% 31.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
qMichigan Senate
POLYMARKET: Michigan Senate — general election
Abdul El-Sayed (D) faces Mike Rogers (R).
The Democratic side holds a commanding lead that has barely moved in a week.
Two markets, one question
Michigan Senate
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 2.0pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Michigan Senate. Abdul El-Sayed (D): Polymarket 65.5%, Kalshi 63.5%; Mike Rogers (R): Polymarket 34.5%, Kalshi 36.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 2.0pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Abdul El-Sayed 64% · Mike Rogers 36%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Abdul El-Sayed (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$365K64.5%Kalshi1.3M contracts · 63%/64%64.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move+1.0ppMike Rogers (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$305K35.5%Kalshi1.9M contracts · 36%/37%37.0%venue gap1.5pp7-day move-1.0ppEvery sample behind the chart. Michigan Senate, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Abdul El-Sayed · Polymarket Abdul El-Sayed · Kalshi Mike Rogers · Polymarket Mike Rogers · Kalshi 7 days ago 64.5% 64.0% 35.5% 37.0% 6 days ago 64.5% 63.0% 35.5% 37.0% 5 days ago 64.5% 64.0% 35.5% 37.0% 4 days ago 64.5% 64.0% 35.0% 38.0% 3 days ago 65.5% 64.0% 33.5% 38.0% 2 days ago 65.5% 64.0% 33.5% 37.0% yesterday 65.5% 64.0% 34.5% 36.0% today 65.5% 63.5% 34.5% 36.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
xNebraska Senate
POLYMARKET: Nebraska Senate — general election
Pete Ricketts (R) faces Dan Osborn (I).
The Republican side holds a commanding lead that has barely moved in a week.
Two markets, one question
Nebraska Senate
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 2.0pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Nebraska Senate. Pete Ricketts (R): Polymarket 68.5%, Kalshi 70.5%; Dan Osborn (I): Polymarket 31.5%, Kalshi 29.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 2.0pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Pete Ricketts 70% · Dan Osborn 30%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Pete Ricketts (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$105K70.5%Kalshi293K contracts · 70%/71%69.0%venue gap1.5pp7-day move-2.0ppDan Osborn (I)7 days agoPolymarket$31.1K29.5%Kalshi388K contracts · 29%/30%30.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move+2.0ppEvery sample behind the chart. Nebraska Senate, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Pete Ricketts · Polymarket Pete Ricketts · Kalshi Dan Osborn · Polymarket Dan Osborn · Kalshi 7 days ago 70.5% 69.0% 29.5% 30.0% 6 days ago 68.5% 70.0% 29.5% 31.0% 5 days ago 69.0% 70.0% 31.0% 31.0% 4 days ago 69.0% 70.0% 30.5% 30.0% 3 days ago 69.5% 71.0% 30.5% 30.0% 2 days ago 69.5% 71.0% 30.5% 29.0% yesterday 68.5% 71.0% 31.5% 29.0% today 68.5% 70.5% 31.5% 29.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
yNew Hampshire Senate
POLYMARKET: New Hampshire Senate — general election
Chris Pappas (D) leads the unresolved Democratic primary; John E. Sununu (R) leads the unresolved Republican primary.
Neither nomination is official yet, though the market already treats both as decided.
Two markets, one question
New Hampshire Senate
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 1.0pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
New Hampshire Senate. Chris Pappas (D): Polymarket 82.5%, Kalshi 82.5%; John E. Sununu (R): Polymarket 17.5%, Kalshi 18.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 1.0pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Chris Pappas 83% · John E. Sununu 18%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Chris Pappas (D)*7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$66.9K83.5%Kalshi113K contracts · 82%/83%83.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move-1.0ppJohn E. Sununu (R)*7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$29.6K16.5%Kalshi220K contracts · 18%/19%17.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move+1.0ppEvery sample behind the chart. New Hampshire Senate, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Chris Pappas · Polymarket Chris Pappas · Kalshi John E. Sununu · Polymarket John E. Sununu · Kalshi 7 days ago 83.5% 83.0% 16.5% 17.0% 6 days ago 83.5% 84.0% 16.5% 18.0% 5 days ago 82.5% 84.0% 17.5% 16.0% 4 days ago 82.5% 83.0% 17.5% 18.0% 3 days ago 83.5% 81.0% 17.5% 19.0% 2 days ago 83.5% 82.0% 17.5% 18.0% yesterday 82.5% 83.0% 17.5% 19.0% today 82.5% 82.5% 17.5% 18.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
vNorth Carolina Senate
POLYMARKET: North Carolina Senate — general election
Roy Cooper (D) faces Michael Whatley (R).
The Democratic side holds a commanding lead that has barely moved in a week.
Two markets, one question
North Carolina Senate
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 0.5pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
North Carolina Senate. Roy Cooper (D): Polymarket 91.50%, Kalshi 91.35%; Michael Whatley (R): Polymarket 8.5%, Kalshi 9.0%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 0.5pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Roy Cooper 91% · Michael Whatley 9.0%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Roy Cooper (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$43.1K91.5%Kalshi1.3M contracts · 91%/92%91.2%venue gap0.3pp7-day move0.0ppMichael Whatley (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$59.9K8.0%Kalshi658K contracts · 8.8%/9.2%9.2%venue gap1.2pp7-day move+0.5ppEvery sample behind the chart. North Carolina Senate, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Roy Cooper · Polymarket Roy Cooper · Kalshi Michael Whatley · Polymarket Michael Whatley · Kalshi 7 days ago 91.5% 91.20% 8.0% 9.2% 6 days ago 91.5% 91.20% 8.5% 9.1% 5 days ago 91.5% 91.10% 8.5% 9.2% 4 days ago 91.5% 91.20% 8.5% 9.0% 3 days ago 91.5% 91.20% 8.5% 9.5% 2 days ago 91.5% 91.50% 8.5% 9.5% yesterday 91.5% 91.10% 8.5% 9.3% today 91.5% 91.35% 8.5% 9.0% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
Governors11 of 12
aaAlaska governor
POLYMARKET: Alaska governor — general election
Bernadette Wilson (R) faces Tom Begich (D).
Wilson holds a commanding lead.
Two markets, one question
Alaska governor
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 2.5pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Alaska governor. Bernadette Wilson (R): Polymarket 32.5%, Kalshi 30.0%; Tom Begich (D): Polymarket 1.35%, Kalshi 0.20%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 2.5pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Series run 7–8 samples because the venues listed these markets on different days; a short line starts late rather than being stretched across a week it was never priced over.
Money-weighted: Bernadette Wilson 32% · Tom Begich 0.7%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Bernadette Wilson (R)7 days agoPolymarket$171K35.5%Kalshi52.1K contracts · 29%/31%—venue gap—7-day move-3.0ppTom Begich (D)7 days agoPolymarket$159K1.25%Kalshi233K contracts · 0.1%/0.3%1.00%venue gap0.3pp7-day move+0.1ppEvery sample behind the chart. Alaska governor, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Bernadette Wilson · Polymarket Bernadette Wilson · Kalshi Tom Begich · Polymarket Tom Begich · Kalshi 7 days ago 35.5% — 1.25% 1.0% 6 days ago 35.5% 30% 1.25% 0.1% 5 days ago 33.5% 33% 1.25% 0.3% 4 days ago 33.0% 31% 1.30% 0.3% 3 days ago 33.0% 31% 1.30% 0.2% 2 days ago 33.0% 33% 1.30% 0.7% yesterday 32.5% 31% 1.35% 0.1% today 32.5% 30% 1.35% 0.2% acArizona governor
POLYMARKET: Arizona governor — general election
Katie Hobbs (D) faces Andy Biggs (R).
The Democratic side holds a commanding lead that has barely moved in a week.
Two markets, one question
Arizona governor
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 0.5pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Arizona governor. Katie Hobbs (D): Polymarket 86.5%, Kalshi 86.0%; Andy Biggs (R): Polymarket 13.5%, Kalshi 13.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 0.5pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Katie Hobbs 86% · Andy Biggs 14%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Katie Hobbs (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$31.6K87.5%Kalshi307K contracts · 85%/87%88.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move-1.0ppAndy Biggs (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$36.7K12.5%Kalshi243K contracts · 13%/14%15.0%venue gap2.5pp7-day move+1.0ppEvery sample behind the chart. Arizona governor, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Katie Hobbs · Polymarket Katie Hobbs · Kalshi Andy Biggs · Polymarket Andy Biggs · Kalshi 7 days ago 87.5% 88% 12.5% 15.0% 6 days ago 87.5% 88% 12.5% 14.0% 5 days ago 87.5% 87% 12.5% 15.0% 4 days ago 86.5% 87% 13.5% 14.0% 3 days ago 86.5% 87% 13.5% 14.0% 2 days ago 86.5% 87% 13.5% 15.0% yesterday 86.5% 87% 13.5% 15.0% today 86.5% 86% 13.5% 13.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
lFlorida governorFour Democratic governors weigh early 2028 launches while Newsom campaigns in South Carolina
AXIOS: Newsom is courting South Carolina voters as four Democratic governors hold off on 2028
Gavin Newsom is campaigning in South Carolina. He has not declared for 2028, and neither have Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania, Wes Moore of Maryland, JB Pritzker of Illinois or Andy Beshear of Kentucky.
For comparison:
- Ron DeSantis waited until late May 2023 to enter the 2024 race, after winning reelection as Florida governor in 2022
- One South Carolina voter told PBS of Newsom's home state: "They're not crazy about California"
The timing question: run before the legislative session, or bank policy wins first.
Two markets, one question
Florida governor
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 0.5pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Florida governor. Byron Donalds (R): Polymarket 81.5%, Kalshi 81.5%; David Jolly (D): Polymarket 19.0%, Kalshi 18.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 0.5pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Byron Donalds 82% · David Jolly 19%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Byron Donalds (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$27.0K81.5%Kalshi499K contracts · 81%/82%81.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move0.0ppDavid Jolly (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$31.2K19.5%Kalshi296K contracts · 18%/19%20.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move-0.5ppEvery sample behind the chart. Florida governor, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Byron Donalds · Polymarket Byron Donalds · Kalshi David Jolly · Polymarket David Jolly · Kalshi 7 days ago 81.5% 81.0% 19.5% 20.0% 6 days ago 81.5% 81.0% 19.0% 17.0% 5 days ago 81.5% 81.0% 19.0% 19.0% 4 days ago 81.5% 81.0% 19.0% 20.0% 3 days ago 81.5% 81.0% 19.0% 20.0% 2 days ago 81.5% 80.0% 19.0% 20.0% yesterday 81.5% 81.0% 19.0% 19.0% today 81.5% 81.5% 19.0% 18.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
zIowa governor
POLYMARKET: Iowa governor — general election
Rob Sand (D) faces Zach Lahn (R).
The Democratic side holds a commanding lead — though the two venues moved in opposite directions this week.
Two markets, one question
Iowa governor
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 2.0pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Iowa governor. Rob Sand (D): Polymarket 74.5%, Kalshi 76.5%; Zach Lahn (R): Polymarket 25.5%, Kalshi 23.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 2.0pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Rob Sand 76% · Zach Lahn 24%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Rob Sand (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$33.7K75.5%Kalshi324K contracts · 76%/77%75.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move-1.0ppZach Lahn (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$44.9K24.5%Kalshi301K contracts · 23%/24%27.0%venue gap2.5pp7-day move+1.0ppEvery sample behind the chart. Iowa governor, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Rob Sand · Polymarket Rob Sand · Kalshi Zach Lahn · Polymarket Zach Lahn · Kalshi 7 days ago 75.5% 75.0% 24.5% 27.0% 6 days ago 76.5% 76.0% 24.5% 27.0% 5 days ago 76.5% 76.0% 24.5% 25.0% 4 days ago 74.5% 76.0% 25.5% 24.0% 3 days ago 74.5% 77.0% 25.5% 23.0% 2 days ago 74.5% 76.0% 25.5% 23.0% yesterday 74.5% 76.0% 25.5% 24.0% today 74.5% 76.5% 25.5% 23.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
abMichigan governor
POLYMARKET: Michigan governor — general election
Jocelyn Benson (D) faces John James (R).
The Democratic side holds a commanding lead — though the two venues moved in opposite directions this week.
Two markets, one question
Michigan governor
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 0.9pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Michigan governor. Jocelyn Benson (D): Polymarket 90.00%, Kalshi 89.05%; John James (R): Polymarket 11.0%, Kalshi 10.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 0.9pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Jocelyn Benson 89% · John James 11%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Jocelyn Benson (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$48.5K92%Kalshi73.2K contracts · 88%/90%87%venue gap5.0pp7-day move-2.0ppJohn James (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$154K8%Kalshi130K contracts · 9.0%/12%14%venue gap6.0pp7-day move+3.0ppEvery sample behind the chart. Michigan governor, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Jocelyn Benson · Polymarket Jocelyn Benson · Kalshi John James · Polymarket John James · Kalshi 7 days ago 92.0% 87.00% 8.0% 14.0% 6 days ago 91.0% 90.20% 8.5% 12.0% 5 days ago 90.5% 87.00% 10.0% 14.0% 4 days ago 90.0% 89.00% 10.5% 12.0% 3 days ago 89.5% 92.20% 11.0% 10.0% 2 days ago 90.0% 90.10% 11.0% 12.0% yesterday 90.0% 88.00% 11.0% 12.0% today 90.0% 89.05% 11.0% 10.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
uNevada governor
POLYMARKET: Nevada governor — general election
Joe Lombardo (R) faces Aaron Ford (D).
Nevada's Republican governor is defending his job, and the Republican side holds a clear lead.
Two markets, one question
Nevada governor
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 2.0pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Nevada governor. Joe Lombardo (R): Polymarket 60.5%, Kalshi 60.5%; Aaron Ford (D): Polymarket 39.5%, Kalshi 41.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 2.0pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Series run 7–8 samples because the venues listed these markets on different days; a short line starts late rather than being stretched across a week it was never priced over.
Money-weighted: Joe Lombardo 61% · Aaron Ford 41%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Joe Lombardo (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$66.8K57%Kalshi239K contracts · 60%/61%55%venue gap2.0pp7-day move+3.5ppAaron Ford (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$23.8K40.5%Kalshi482K contracts · 41%/42%—venue gap—7-day move-1.0ppEvery sample behind the chart. Nevada governor, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Joe Lombardo · Polymarket Joe Lombardo · Kalshi Aaron Ford · Polymarket Aaron Ford · Kalshi 7 days ago 57.0% 55.0% 40.5% — 6 days ago 57.5% 58.0% 40.5% 42.0% 5 days ago 57.5% 61.0% 40.5% 41.0% 4 days ago 59.0% 61.0% 41.0% 40.0% 3 days ago 59.0% 60.0% 40.5% 41.0% 2 days ago 60.5% 61.0% 39.5% 42.0% yesterday 60.5% 61.0% 39.5% 42.0% today 60.5% 60.5% 39.5% 41.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
aeNew York governor
POLYMARKET: New York governor — general election
Kathy Hochul (D) faces Bruce Blakeman (R).
The Democratic side holds a commanding lead that has barely moved in a week.
Two markets, one question
New York governor
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 2.5pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
New York governor. Kathy Hochul (D): Polymarket 94.00%, Kalshi 93.15%; Bruce Blakeman (R): Polymarket 5.00%, Kalshi 7.55%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 2.5pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Kathy Hochul 93% · Bruce Blakeman 7.4%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Kathy Hochul (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$49.7K94.5%Kalshi300K contracts · 93%/93%94.1%venue gap0.4pp7-day move-0.5ppBruce Blakeman (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$56.8K5.5%Kalshi886K contracts · 7.3%/7.8%7.7%venue gap2.2pp7-day move-0.5ppEvery sample behind the chart. New York governor, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Kathy Hochul · Polymarket Kathy Hochul · Kalshi Bruce Blakeman · Polymarket Bruce Blakeman · Kalshi 7 days ago 94.5% 94.10% 5.5% 7.70% 6 days ago 94.5% 94.00% 5.0% 7.50% 5 days ago 94.5% 93.80% 5.0% 5.30% 4 days ago 94.5% 93.80% 4.5% 6.90% 3 days ago 93.5% 93.90% 4.5% 6.90% 2 days ago 93.5% 93.20% 5.0% 8.90% yesterday 94.0% 93.10% 5.0% 7.80% today 94.0% 93.15% 5.0% 7.55% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
mOhio governor
POLYMARKET: Ohio governor — general election
Amy Acton (D) faces Vivek Ramaswamy (R).
Ohio is choosing a new governor, and the Democratic side holds a clear lead.
Two markets, one question
Ohio governor
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 1.0pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Ohio governor. Amy Acton (D): Polymarket 57.5%, Kalshi 58.5%; Vivek Ramaswamy (R): Polymarket 42.5%, Kalshi 42.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 1.0pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Amy Acton 58% · Vivek Ramaswamy 43%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Amy Acton (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$84.2K53.5%Kalshi729K contracts · 58%/59%57.0%venue gap3.5pp7-day move+4.0ppVivek Ramaswamy (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$102K46.5%Kalshi791K contracts · 42%/43%43.0%venue gap3.5pp7-day move-4.0ppEvery sample behind the chart. Ohio governor, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Amy Acton · Polymarket Amy Acton · Kalshi Vivek Ramaswamy · Polymarket Vivek Ramaswamy · Kalshi 7 days ago 53.5% 57.0% 46.5% 43.0% 6 days ago 53.5% 58.0% 45.5% 42.0% 5 days ago 54.5% 57.0% 45.5% 44.0% 4 days ago 55.5% 57.0% 44.5% 44.0% 3 days ago 56.0% 58.0% 43.5% 43.0% 2 days ago 56.5% 57.0% 43.5% 43.0% yesterday 57.5% 59.0% 42.5% 43.0% today 57.5% 58.5% 42.5% 42.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
afPennsylvania governor
POLYMARKET: Pennsylvania governor — general election
Josh Shapiro (D) faces Stacy Garrity (R).
The Democratic side holds a commanding lead.
Two markets, one question
Pennsylvania governor
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 1.3pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Pennsylvania governor. Josh Shapiro (D): Polymarket 96.9%, Kalshi 97.2%; Stacy Garrity (R): Polymarket 2.20%, Kalshi 3.55%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 1.3pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Series run 4–8 samples because the venues listed these markets on different days; a short line starts late rather than being stretched across a week it was never priced over.
Money-weighted: Josh Shapiro 97% · Stacy Garrity 3.4%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Josh Shapiro (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$7.5K95.5%Kalshi99.1K contracts · 97%/98%—venue gap—7-day move+1.4ppStacy Garrity (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$41.7K2.3%Kalshi392K contracts · 2.8%/4.3%—venue gap—7-day move-0.1ppEvery sample behind the chart. Pennsylvania governor, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Josh Shapiro · Polymarket Josh Shapiro · Kalshi Stacy Garrity · Polymarket Stacy Garrity · Kalshi 7 days ago 95.50% — 2.30% — 6 days ago 95.50% — 2.30% — 5 days ago 96.85% — 2.25% 4.30% 4 days ago 97.25% — 2.15% 3.80% 3 days ago 97.10% 96.7% 2.20% 4.90% 2 days ago 96.75% 97.4% 2.20% 2.60% yesterday 96.90% 97.5% 2.20% 4.30% today 96.90% 97.2% 2.20% 3.55% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
adTexas governor
POLYMARKET: Texas governor — general election
Greg Abbott (R) faces Gina Hinojosa (D).
The Republican side holds a commanding lead.
Two markets, one question
Texas governor
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 1.5pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Texas governor. Greg Abbott (R): Polymarket 81.1%, Kalshi 81.5%; Gina Hinojosa (D): Polymarket 18.5%, Kalshi 20.0%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 1.5pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: Greg Abbott 81% · Gina Hinojosa 20%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
Greg Abbott (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$40.7K81.55%Kalshi173K contracts · 81%/82%85.00%venue gap3.4pp7-day move-0.4ppGina Hinojosa (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$52.0K19%Kalshi659K contracts · 19%/21%17%venue gap2.0pp7-day move-0.5ppEvery sample behind the chart. Texas governor, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day Greg Abbott · Polymarket Greg Abbott · Kalshi Gina Hinojosa · Polymarket Gina Hinojosa · Kalshi 7 days ago 81.55% 85.0% 19.0% 17% 6 days ago 81.75% 84.0% 18.5% 18% 5 days ago 81.20% 81.0% 18.5% 20% 4 days ago 81.35% 82.0% 17.5% 18% 3 days ago 81.45% 83.0% 19.0% 18% 2 days ago 81.20% 83.0% 18.5% 19% yesterday 81.25% 80.0% 18.5% 21% today 81.10% 81.5% 18.5% 20% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
sWisconsin governor
POLYMARKET: Wisconsin governor — general election
David Crowley (D) faces Tom Tiffany (R).
An open governorship, and the Democratic side holds a commanding lead that has barely moved in a week.
Two markets, one question
Wisconsin governor
Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT
widest venue gap 3.0pp- Polymarket, solid
- Kalshi, dashed
- shaded = the gap between them
Wisconsin governor. David Crowley (D): Polymarket 82.5%, Kalshi 79.5%; Tom Tiffany (R): Polymarket 17.5%, Kalshi 20.5%. Widest disagreement between the two venues: 3.0pp. Full history is in the table below.
7 days agoMarket-implied chance of winning, out of 100 — prices, not polls. Source: Polymarket · Kalshi.
Prices are what each venue’s traders were paying, right-aligned to the snapshot: the last sample is today, the one before it yesterday. Every series here is 8 samples long.
Money-weighted: David Crowley 81% · Tom Tiffany 19%. Volume is each venue's own reported figure — Polymarket in USD, Kalshi in contracts. They are not a common unit, so read the weighting as a tilt, not a conversion.
David Crowley (D)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$293K81.5%Kalshi451K contracts · 79%/80%80.0%venue gap1.5pp7-day move+1.0ppTom Tiffany (R)7 days ago · party contractPolymarket$265K19.5%Kalshi477K contracts · 20%/21%19.0%venue gap0.5pp7-day move-2.0ppEvery sample behind the chart. Wisconsin governor, snapshot Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. Day David Crowley · Polymarket David Crowley · Kalshi Tom Tiffany · Polymarket Tom Tiffany · Kalshi 7 days ago 81.5% 80.0% 19.5% 19.0% 6 days ago 82.5% 78.0% 18.5% 21.0% 5 days ago 82.5% 80.0% 18.5% 21.0% 4 days ago 82.5% 80.0% 18.0% 20.0% 3 days ago 82.5% 79.0% 18.0% 20.0% 2 days ago 82.5% 79.0% 17.5% 20.0% yesterday 82.5% 79.0% 17.5% 21.0% today 82.5% 79.5% 17.5% 20.5% These contracts price the party, not the named person — the venues list the seat before the nominee is settled.
“Still in doubt” means no leader above 80% on either book. Prices captured Sep 7, 11:02 AM CT. These are trader-implied estimates, not polls. Separate contracts trade independently, so opposing prices may not add to exactly 100%.
Not news news1 story
Ongoing1 earlier update3 days
This story has run 2 times over 3 days, starting Sep 4.
- UpdateIMF weighs a permanent Caracas office and Energy Secretary Chris Wright flew to Venezuela to sell the oil deal
- UpdateEnergy Secretary Wright says US controls Venezuela's outside oil sales, calling it "a lot of leverage" over the 65-billion-barrel deal — this issue
The 17 fields in the deal hold about a fifth of Venezuela's 303 billion barrels of proven reserves, and the two governments still disagree on whether the lease runs 25 years or 100.
The leverage. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said Sunday, Sept. 6, that the United States holds "a lot of leverage" over Venezuela after last month's deal giving American companies the lead role in developing more than 65 billion barrels of its oil. His argument is that Caracas cannot sell the crude without Washington's permission, so it has no choice but to cooperate. ([TS]Washington has flipped Venezuela oil licensing three times since 2022 — grant, revoke, re-grant — about once every 12 to 18 months.)
"We have a lot of leverage over Venezuela. We control the sale of oil outside of their country. So right now they are forced to work in partnership with us."Energy Secretary Chris Wright
The objection. Opponents call the deal coercive, and say it will revive anti-American feeling across Latin America and can only be held in place by a standing U.S. naval force. Former Ambassador to Israel Daniel Shapiro said the celebration "ignores a clear reality: whatever degree of control we have would require a permanent, massive naval presence to sustain."
Still open. Operation Southern Spear, the Caribbean deployment behind the pressure campaign, had an authorization window that ran Sept. 1, 2025 through Aug. 31, 2026. No public Pentagon or congressional document extends or funds it past that date.
What the campaign has cost taxpayers so far
- U.S. spending on Operation Southern Spear, Aug. 1, 2025–Mar. 31, 2026: $4.7 billion, of which $3.8 billion is the naval deployment
- Peak daily cost, mid-Nov. 2025 to mid-Jan. 2026: over $20 million
- Gerald R. Ford carrier group alone: $11.4 million a day
Catch up
- Mon., Aug. 31 — A US-led venture won 25-year rights to 17 Venezuelan oil fields and access to 65 billion barrels.
- Tue., Sept. 1 — The Pentagon took a 35% stake in that venture.
- Thu., Sept. 3 — Chevron said it would spend $7 billion over five years to raise Venezuelan output to about 600,000 barrels a day.
- Fri., Sept. 4 — The IMF weighed a permanent Caracas office and Wright flew to Venezuela.
Related reading
Five Republicans joined every Democrat on the Jan. 8, 2026 procedural vote. The FY2026 defense bill, signed days earlier, repealed old use-of-force authorizations without adding one for Venezuela.